The Professionals Strike Back?
Imagine, if you will, that the U.S. Open golf tournament did not have a qualification process. Imagine that any amateur player willing to plop down $10,000 could gain entry to this tournament and take their shot alongside Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. Now imagine that it had been this way for more than a decade, and that in that decade not a single big name professional player had won the U.S. Open, and only a handful had even been in contention on the final day.
This is about where we find ourselves in the World Series of Poker. No professional poker player has won the title since Carlos Mortensen in 2001. In 2002 virtual unknown Robert Varkyoni won the title from nowhere, and about the same time ESPN began televising the tournament with the revolutionary "hole card cam" that allows home viewers to see each player's hole cards. Amateurs began flooding to the sport and to the tournament, and for each of the last seven years we have seen people we've never heard of take home millions of dollars from the Main Event.
Now, you might argue that my analogy fails because golf is an actual sport based solely on talent and skill. Luck plays very little role in deciding whether your shot goes into a sandtrap or lands on the green, beyond perhaps a gust of wind or an errant bird getting in the way. Poker is not really a sport, despite being broadcast by ESPN. It is a game of both skill and chance, and thus far less predictable. But it has still been a frustrating thing for those who love the game and its particular nuances and challenges to watch it be flooded by nobodies who have managed to muscle the well known players out of the limelight at the Main Event every year. Perhaps that's precisely because the fall of the professionals has suggested that luck plays a far bigger role than skill in determining who wins and who loses. If skill were that important, the naysayers argue, then the highly skilled and proven professionals should be able to beat the lucky noobs. So, the naysayers ask, why the hell haven't these highly skill pros won another one yet?
This year may be the professionals' answer to those naysayers. For the first time since 2003, two well known professional poker players have made the final table of 9 who will regroup in November to battle it out for the World Championship in the Main Event. Every single person in that nine has already guaranteed himself (no ladies at the final table this year, yet again) at least a million dollars, but to Phil Ivey and Jeff Shulman the $8.5 million for first place is probabaly not as important as you'd expect, compared to the title and what it would mean for the discouraged ranks of professional players cheering them on.
"You have no idea how bad I want this," said Ivey. "I can taste it now."
Ivey has come close to the final table before, bubbling in 2003. (For poker novices out there, the last person who is eliminated before the final table or before the money is known as "the Bubble" slot, a particularly painful experience for the person who can practically taste the cash and glory but falls just shy.) He is considered by many to be the best poker player alive today, and is known as the "Tiger Woods of poker." Shulman made the final table in 2000 but finished in seventh place after once holding a massive chip stack lead. These two have not just the notoriety of television exposure and poker website sponsorship, but also a proven record of success in the form of World Series bracelets and millions of dollars won.
You might assume an amateur player like me, who has only been playing poker for a few years myself and has lost far more than I've won in casino play, would be rooting for the anonymous inexperienced and unknown poker players who have flooded the game. It would make sense since I am one of them, but you'd be wrong. I want one of the pros to win it all again this year, even though I recognize the odds are long for both. Why? It's hard to explain. Maybe it's that I need to believe that skill will triumph over luck at least half of the time, that making the right decisions still counts for something in this game. Maybe it's that I feel burned by the volatility and danger that inexperienced players bring to the sport, so I am hoping that the re-emergence of pros would diminish that to a degree. Maybe it's that I still want to have idols, people who I can look up to because they are better than I am at something that I love. I really don't know if I can articulate it.
Whatever the reason, I'll be watching in November and sweating Ivey and Shulman. I also think their success this year has reinvigorated my own love for poker and my desire to work towards being a better player through discipline, study, and effort. When I started playing in casino tournaments I wasn't really ready, and perhaps I'm still not. I had come a long way from when I started playing but I still had much to learn. Like many of those wide-eyed amateurs, I walked into a casino and threw away my money hoping that luck would take me the rest of the way when skill could not. Some people who did the very same thing have made fortunes, but in doing so and giving people the impression that anyone can do this thing they cheapened the game. I'm going to recommit myself to doing it the right way. I guess I have embraced the possibly foolhardy belief that eventually skill should triumph over luck in this game, and that thankfully skill is the only part of the game that can be intentionally acquired. But a little luck wouldn't hurt either.

